Generational Futures
Peak Millennial: Three Reinforcing Cycles that Amplify the Rise and Fall of Urban Concentration by Millennials
by Dowell Myers, April 2016 > Journal Article (pdf)
Compare “Peak Millennial” predictions to subsequent trends of growth in large cities after 2015 (the year when the peak cohort, born 1990, passed 25, and when economic recovery and housing construction also both were expected to kick in), as reported by William Frey (2021) “America’s Largest Cities Saw the Sharpest Losses” from Brookings > Brookings Report (pdf)
Projections of the U.S. Population, 2010-2040, by Immigrant Generations and Length of U.S. Residence for the Foreign Born
by John Pitkin and Dowell Myers, October 2011
> Executive Summary (pdf) > Full Report (pdf)
The Contributions of Immigrants and Their Children to the American Workforce and Jobs of the Future
by Dowell Myers, Stephen Levy and John Pitkin, June 2013
sponsored by the Center for American Progress > Report (pdf)
Dynamic Visualization of Our US Projections
by Graphicacy for the Center for American Progress
Generational Future of Los Angeles: Projections to 2030 and Comparisons to Recent Decades
by Dowell Myers and John Pitkin, March 2013
> Executive Summary (pdf) > Full Report (pdf)
> Summary Tables from Projections (xlsx)
> Table: Shrinking Child Populations in Los Angeles County Cities (xlsx)
Generational Projections of the California Population by Nativity and Year of Immigrant Arrival
by John Pitkin and Dowell Myers, April 2012
> Executive Summary (pdf) > Full Report (pdf)
> Summary Tables from Projections (xls)
Supporting Studies
California Demographic Futures: Projections to 2030, by Immigrant Generations, Nativity, and Time of Arrival in U.S.
by Dowell Myers, John Pitkin and Julie Park, 2005
> Summary Report (pdf)
Demographic Futures for California
by Dowell Myers and John Pitkin, 2001 > Report (pdf)
Projections of the Population of California by Nativity and Year of Entry to the U.S., in Addition to Age, Sex, Race and Hispanic Origin
by John Pitkin and Dowell Myers, April 2011
Presented at the 2011 Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America
> Presentation Paper (pdf)
Survey of Expert Opinion on Future Level of Immigration
by John Pitkin and Dowell Myers, May 2011 > Report (pdf)
The 2010 Census Benchmark for California’s Growing and Changing Population
by John Pitkin and Dowell Myers, February 2011
2010 Census Year California Profile > Report (pdf)
A Predictive Estimate of the 2010 Census Count for California
by John Pitkin and Dowell Myers, December 2010
2010 Census Year California Profile > Report (pdf)